Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.081764 0.091002 0.101210 0.113394 0.127623 0.143821 0.163805
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.068772 0.081363 0.096495 0.116296 0.141936 0.174618 0.220441
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.059789 0.074109 0.092483 0.118388 0.155007 0.206644 0.288397
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.053139 0.068335 0.088883 0.119705 0.166695 0.239280 0.368350
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.047740 0.063229 0.085085 0.119611 0.175794 0.269985 0.456966
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.043116 0.058482 0.080931 0.117963 0.181701 0.296646 0.549630
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.040354 0.056018 0.079697 0.120491 0.194873 0.339859 0.698112
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.037085 0.052388 0.076135 0.118446 0.199219 0.367049 0.825377
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.034949 0.050255 0.074648 0.119662 0.209894 0.410970 1.027163
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032718 0.047740 0.072214 0.118728 0.215956 0.446466 1.232915
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.031245 0.046297 0.071405 0.120665 0.228490 0.502718 1.566667
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029932 0.044993 0.070671 0.122598 0.241455 0.565761 2.008537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028364 0.043155 0.068852 0.122188 0.249171 0.618471 2.493409
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027203 0.041927 0.068023 0.123739 0.262276 0.695516 3.278728
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026148 0.040794 0.067252 0.125301 0.275932 0.783046 4.390076
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025132 0.039651 0.066343 0.126416 0.288767 0.876495 5.925182
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024057 0.038319 0.064938 0.126185 0.297758 0.961366 7.835748
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022909 0.036775 0.062975 0.124362 0.301566 1.027037 9.974620
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022302 0.036188 0.062882 0.127051 0.320434 1.181680 15.323009
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.021280 0.034754 0.060929 0.124846 0.322691 1.252683 19.987681
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020649 0.034024 0.060379 0.126148 0.337503 1.411566 31.556574
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019864 0.032949 0.059014 0.125144 0.343920 1.527167 46.515930
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019383 0.032437 0.058811 0.127222 0.362639 1.752216 89.192832